【1974 Archives】

One thing often forgotten in the run-up to a tense Election Day: There974 Archivesan estimated 8 million non-military Americans living and working around the world. Their vote never gets included on FiveThirtyEight.com and other polling aggregators, because it's incredibly hard to poll them.

But if a new survey of expats conducted by money transfer company TransferWise is any guide, expats are unusually engaged with this election. Some 95% of them plan on mailing their vote in -- and nearly 85% of them are voting for Hillary Clinton. Less than 5% plan on voting for Donald Trump.

SEE ALSO: England is burning a massive effigy of Donald Trump holding Hillary Clinton's head

If that's an accurate reflection of the expat population at large, it means Americans abroad could provide enough votes to tip close states such as Florida, Ohio and North Carolina in Clinton's direction. (In the survey, Trump has his best chance with expats from Florida, nearly 15% of whom plan to vote for him.)

---

You May Also Like

---

---

That's a big if, of course. TransferWise polled its customers, and some 508 opted in -- statistically significant enough for a poll in itself, but drawn from a pool of people who send money back to the U.S. Still, the company has verified the U.S. citizenship and foreign addresses of all respondents.

Mashable Trend Report Decode what’s viral, what’s next, and what it all means. Sign up for Mashable’s weekly Trend Report newsletter. By clicking Sign Me Up, you confirm you are 16+ and agree to our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy. Thanks for signing up!

Outside the U.S., every poll of global sentiment has suggested that most countries would vote for Clinton in large numbers. Just last week respondents in one poll of 3,500 people in Canada, France, Germany, Russia, Mexico and the UK went for Clinton by 60% to 40%. Only Russian voters preferred Trump, 48% to 15%.

Some 55% of the new survey's respondents said that living abroad had swayed their vote.

In the 2012 election, a mere 15% of Americans living abroad actually mailed their votes in, a typically disengaged number. Nevertheless, mail-in ballots from expats have been credited with tipping tight Congressional elections before -- such as the 2008 Minnesota Senate race that went to Democrat Al Franken by 312 votes.

Another survey of 1,800 Americans living abroad, back in June, also saw engagement levels rising. An expat tax services company called Greenback teamed up with various expat support groups, and found 73% of respondents intended to vote in the 2016 election -- up from 57% who said the same in 2015.

Original image has been replaced. Credit: Mashable

• Life
• Entertainment
• Shopping
• Science
• Games
• Digital Culture
• Deals
• Social Good

• Best Nespresso deal: The Nespresso Vertuo Pop+ is just $69.99 at Woot
• 'Harry Potter' epilogue date: Why today is important
• Creepy thieves pull off a massive wine heist using Paris catacombs
• Before and after satellite photos show Harvey's devastation
• Best Garmin deal: Save $50 on the Venu 3S at Best Buy
• Harry Potter fans gather at Kings Cross in honor of Albus Potter's first day at Hogwarts
• Everything you need to know about the Steve Jobs Theater
• Someone fired a crossbow arrow into a cricket pitch, forcing 1,000 people to evacuate
• 'Severance' Reddit theory may have answered the 'Cold Harbor' mystery
• Samsung's huge 49

• Sleeping intern gets Photoshopped into a meme by coworkers
• Clouded leopard cub is not only beyond cute, but a conservation breakthrough
• Patrick Stewart shows you don't need to be an X
• Hugh Jackman and Patrick Stewart know why Magneto isn't in 'Logan'
• Guy throws up in the middle of marriage proposal
• Amazon might make Alexa home phone with intercoms
• 'Crazy Ex
• Picasso the rescue dog is stealing hearts all over the internet (and so is his bro)
• #BoycottTheBefore wants you to rethink what eating disorder recovery looks like
• Riz Ahmed spoke to the British government about representation, and he nailed it

• Antigua GFC vs. Seattle Sounders 2025 livestream: Watch Concacaf Champions Cup for free
• How Princess Diana made the world pay attention to causes that actually needed it
• Apple just released a statement on net neutrality, and you need to read it right now
• Juicero maker squeezed out of business after months of ridicule
• Afghanistan vs. Australia 2025 livestream: Watch ICC Champions Trophy for free
• Creepy thieves pull off a massive wine heist using Paris catacombs
• Harry Potter fans gather at Kings Cross in honor of Albus Potter's first day at Hogwarts
• How Princess Diana made the world pay attention to causes that actually needed it
• Afghanistan vs. Australia 2025 livestream: Watch ICC Champions Trophy for free
• People who say they got blinded by the sun sue Amazon over eclipse glasses

• Trump administration to allow African elephant trophies back into U.S.
• Sphero’s awesome R2
• Juicero maker squeezed out of business after months of ridicule
• Samsung's huge 49
• Best soundbar deal: Get $50 off the Amazon Fire TV Soundbar Plus
• The world's shortest railroad is making its teeny
• New photo gives first peek inside the mysterious Steve Jobs Theater
• Juicero maker squeezed out of business after months of ridicule
• Best Garmin deal: Save over $30 on Forerunner 55
• Mark Hamill has a dark, dark look in Luke Skywalker's new outfit